Time-constant models | Time-dependent models | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First available ("remote") TC | Average of first two TCs | Most recent TC | Mean TC | Time-adjusted mean TC | AUC TC | |||||||
HR (95% CI) | P | HR (95% CI) | P | HR (95% CI) | P | HR (95% CI) | P | HR (95% CI) | P | HR (95% CI) | p | |
Cholesterol (TC) | 1.07 (0.93, 1.22) | 0.36 | 1.08 (0.94, 1.24) | 0.30 | 1.22 (1.05, 1.42) | 0.01 | 1.22 (1.01, 1.47) | 0.04 | 1.22 (1.02, 1.47) | 0.03 | 1.00 (1.00, 1.00) | 0.29 |
Male sex | 2.02 (1.12, 3.62) | 0.02 | 2.00 (1.11, 3.59) | 0.02 | 1.84 (1.02, 3.32) | 0.04 | 1.75 (0.97, 3.18) | 0.06 | 1.74 (0.96, 3.15) | 0.07 | 1.78 (0.98, 3.23) | 0.06 |
Ageψ | 1.06 (1.04, 1.08) | < 0.0001 | 1.06 (1.04, 1.08) | < 0.0001 | 1.06 (1.05, 1.08) | < 0.0001 | 1.06 (1.05, 1.08) | < 0.0001 | 1.06 (1.04, 1.08) | < 0.0001 | 1.06 (1.04, 1.08) | < 0.0001 |
SLEDAI-2K¶ | 1.03 (1.001, 1.06) | 0.04 | 1.03 (1.00, 1.06) | 0.06 | 1.09 (1.05, 1.13) | < 0.0001 | 1.09 (1.05, 1.13) | < 0.0001 | 1.09 (1.05, 1.13) | < 0.0001 | 1.09 (1.05, 1.13) | < 0.0001 |
Hypertension¢ | 1.12 (0.61, 2.04) | 0.72 | 1.10 (0.60, 2.02) | 0.76 | 1.50 (0.93, 2.42) | 0.095 | 1.57 (0.97, 2.52) | 0.06 | 1.57 (0.98, 2.52) | 0.06 | 1.67 (1.05, 2.67) | 0.03 |
Corticosteroidsβ | 4.17 (1.62, 10.73) | 0.003 | 4.16 (1.62, 10.72) | 0.003 | 1.85 (1.05, 3.23) | 0.03 | 1.89 (1.08, 3.30) | 0.03 | 1.89 (1.08, 3.30) | 0.03 | 1.92 (1.10, 3.35) | 0.02 |
Antimalarials§ | 0.50 (0.31, 0.79) | 0.003 | 0.50 (0.31, 0.80) | 0.004 | 0.90 (0.57, 1.44) | 0.66 | 0.88 (0.55, 1.41) | 0.59 | 0.88 (0.55, 1.41) | 0.60 | 0.80 (0.51, 1.27) | 0.35 |
Immunosuppressives¥ | 0.79 (0.49, 1.26) | 0.32 | 0.78 (0.49, 1.25) | 0.30 | 1.32 (0.82, 2.14) | 0.25 | 1.29 (0.79, 2.08) | 0.31 | 1.29 (0.79, 2.09) | 0.31 | 1.34 (0.83, 2.17) | 0.23 |