Time-constant models | Time-dependent models | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First available ("remote") SBP | Average of first two SBP | Most recent SBP | Mean SBP | Time-adjusted mean SBP | AUC SBP | |||||||
HR (95% CI) | P | HR (95% CI) | P | HR (95% CI) | P | HR (95% CI) | P | HR (95% CI) | P | HR (95%)I) | p | |
Systolic blood pressure (SBP) | 1.00 (0.99, 1.02) | 0.45 | 1.31 (0.68, 2.53) | 0.42 | 1.01 (1.00, 1.02) | 0.052 | 1.025 (1.01, 1.04) | 0.004 | 1.024 (1.01, 1.04) | 0.004 | 1.00 (1.00, 1.00) | 0.19 |
Male sex | 2.01 (1.13, 3.59) | 0.02 | 2.04 (1.14, 3.65) | 0.02 | 1.87 (1.03, 3.39) | 0.04 | 1.75 (0.96, 3.21) | 0.07 | 1.74 (0.95, 3.18) | 0.07 | 1.83 (1.00, 3.33) | 0.049 |
Ageψ | 1.05 (1.03, 1.07) | < 0.0001 | 1.05 (1.03, 1.07) | < 0.0001 | 1.06 (1.03, 1.07) | < 0.0001 | 1.04 (1.02, 1.07) | < 0.0001 | 1.04 (1.02, 1.07) | < 0.0001 | 1.06 (1.04, 1.08) | < 0.0001 |
SLEDAI-2K¶ | 1.03 (1.01, 1.06) | 0.01 | 1.03 (1.01, 1.06) | 0.01 | 1.09 (1.05, 1.13) | < 0.0001 | 1.09 (1.05, 1.13) | < 0.0001 | 1.09 (1.05, 1.13) | < 0.0001 | 1.09 (1.05, 1.13) | < 0.0001 |
Elevated cholesterolζ | 1.41 (0.67, 2.98) | 0.37 | 1.39 (0.66, 2.95) | 0.39 | 1.72 (1.06, 2.78) | 0.03 | 1.68 (1.04, 2.71) | 0.03 | 1.69 (1.04, 2.73) | 0.03 | 1.82 (1.13, 2.92) | 0.01 |
Corticosteroidsβ | 2.73 (1.13, 6.61) | 0.03 | 2.74 (1.13, 6.62) | 0.03 | 1.74 (0.99, 3.08) | 0.06 | 1.72 (0.98, 3.03) | 0.06 | 1.72 (0.97, 3.03) | 0.06 | 1.77 (1.00, 3.12) | 0.049 |
Antimalarials§ | 0.59 (0.37, 0.93) | 0.02 | 0.59 (0.37, 0.95) | 0.03 | 0.95 (0.60, 1.52) | 0.84 | 0.97 (0.61, 1.56) | 0.91 | 0.97 (0.61, 1.55) | 0.89 | 0.93 (0.58, 1.48) | 0.75 |
Immunosuppressives¥ | 0.91 (0.58, 1.43) | 0.68 | 0.89 (0.56, 1.41) | 0.63 | 1.51 (0.93, 2.45) | 0.10 | 1.48 (0.91, 2.40) | 0.11 | 1.48 (0.91, 2.40) | 0.11 | 1.46 (0.90, 2.36) | 0.13 |