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Table 3 Comparison of the performance of DETECT versus ESC/ERS versus ASIG screening models for pulmonary arterial hypertension in patients with systemic sclerosis

From: A comparison of the predictive accuracy of three screening models for pulmonary arterial hypertension in systemic sclerosis

  

PAH prevalence set at 10% a

 

DETECT

ESC/ERS

ASIG

DETECT

ESC/ERS

ASIG

n = 61

n = 58

n = 37

n = 61

n = 58

n = 37

Positive b

49 (80.3)

48 (82.8)

25 (67.6)

   

Negative b

12 (19.7)

10 (17.2)

12 (32.4)

   

True PAH on RHC c

27 (44.3)

27 (46.55)

15 (40.54)

   

Sensitivity

100%

96.3%

100%

100%

96.3%

100%

(95% CI)

(87.2-100)

(81.0-99.9)

(78.2-100)

(54.1-100)

(54.1-100)

(39.8-100)

Specificity

35.3%

32.3%

54.5%

35.3%

32.3%

54.5%

(95% CI)

(19.7-53.5)

(16.7-51.4)

(32.2-75.6)

(23.8-50.4)

(15.6-41.0)

(33.5-69.2)

PPV

55.1%

55.3%

60%

14.7%

13.6%

19.6%

(95% CI)

(40.2-69.3)

(40.1-69.8)

(38.7-78.8)

(5.6-29.2)

(5.2-27.4)

(5.7-43.7)

NPV

100%

90.9%

100%

100%

98.7%

100%

(95% CI)

(63.1-100)

(58.7-99.8)

(73.5-100)

(83.2-100)

(76.8-100)

(80.5-100)

  1. aRefer to Additional file 1. bPositive or negative number screened by each of the algorithms. Values are presented as number (percentage). cTrue pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) number confirmed by right heart catheterization (RHC). Values are presented as number (percentage). ASIG, Australian Scleroderma Interest Group; CI, confidence interval; ESC/ERS, European Society of Cardiology/European Respiratory Society; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value.