Ultrasound abnormalities | Arthritis, yes | Arthritis, no | OR (95% CI) | p value | PPV | NPV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Outcome: clinical arthritis | n = 51 | n = 112 |  |  |  |  |
 Synovial thickeninga (16 joints) | 19 (37%) | 30 (27%) | 1.6 (0.8–3.3) | 0.18c | 39% | 72% |
 Synovial thickening (10 joints, no MTP) | 10 (20%) | 4 (4%) | 6.6 (1.9–22.2) | < 0.01d | 71% | 72% |
 Power Dopplera (16 joints)b | 2 (4%) | 5 (5%) | 0.9 (0.1–4.7) | 1.0.d | 29% | 69% |
Outcome: 2010 RA criteria | n = 44 | n = 119 |  |  |  |  |
 Synovial thickening (16 joints) | 17 (39%) | 32 (27%) | 1.7 (0.8–3.6) | 0.15c | 35% | 76% |
 Synovial thickening (10 joints, no MTP) | 10 (23%) | 4 (3%) | 8.5 (2.4–28.7) | < 0.01d | 71% | 77% |
 Power Doppler (16 joints)b | 2 (5%) | 5 (4%) | 1.1 (0.2–5.9) | 1.0d | 29% | 73% |