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Table 2 Estimated transition probabilities

From: Clinical and demographic factors associated with change and maintenance of disease severity in a large registry of patients with rheumatoid arthritis

  Prior state Current state
Low Moderate Severe
3-State model
 Full population Low 0.82 0.15 0.03
Moderate 0.47 0.35 0.18
Severe 0.13 0.39 0.48
 Regular-visit sub-cohort Low 0.84 0.13 0.03
Moderate 0.52 0.33 0.15
Severe 0.16 0.41 0.43
3-State model assuming a 6-month interval
 Full population Low 0.81 0.15 0.05
Moderate 0.46 0.37 0.17
Severe 0.26 0.33 0.41
 Regular-visit sub-cohort Low 0.84 0.13 0.03
Moderate 0.48 0.38 0.14
Severe 0.28 0.34 0.38