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Early achievement of deep remission predicts low incidence of renal flare in lupus nephritis class III or IV

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Recommendations for lupus nephritis (LN) management specify that the therapeutic target should be a complete renal response (CR) [1], defined as a urine protein:Cr ratio (UPCR) of 0.5 g/gCr (50 mg/mmol) and normal or near-normal renal function. Earlier studies suggested that patients who achieved CR experienced fewer renal flares than those who achieved partial remission, defined as a 50% reduction of proteinuria [2]. Among patients who achieved CR (less than 0.50 g/gCr of UPCR), however, the renal outcome of those who achieved a value below the normal UPCR limit of 0.15 g/gCr was unclear. We recently reported that an early renal response may predict a good renal or systemic outcome [3, 4]. In this study, we investigated whether it is beneficial to achieve deep remission early by evaluating flare rate, Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics/American College of Rheumatology Damage Index (SDI), cumulative glucocorticoid dose, and eGFR level.

We retrospectively assessed 69 patients with biopsy-proven LN class III or IV who achieved CR in our hospital. We divided them into two groups based on whether deep remission was achieved, defined as less than 0.15 g/gCr UPCR, and compared cumulative flare rates [1], defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decreasing by ≥ 10%, active urine sediment, or increasing UPCR > 1.0 g/gCr after achieving CR. Furthermore, we analyzed the additional effect of early achievement of CR, defined as CR within 3 months after induction therapy. Clinical characteristics between the two groups were compared using the non-parametric Mann-Whitney U-test. Frequencies of clinicopathological characteristics were compared using the Chi-square test. Cumulative flare free rates were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and differences between the two groups were tested with a log-rank test. To identify independent parameters that predict CR at 3 years, we performed multivariate analysis.

During the 3-year period, 55 of 69 CR patients achieved deep remission while 14 did not. Among clinical features at baseline, the proportion of females was significantly higher among patients with deep remission (p = 0.01; Table 1).

Table 1 Baseline clinical and renal pathological features of LN patients with or without deep remission

We found a significantly higher flare-free rate among patients who achieved deep remission compared with those who did not (p = 0.001; Fig. 1a). For patients with deep remission, those with early CR had a higher flare-free rate than those without (p = 0.04) (Fig. 1b), but significant difference was found in those with non-deep remission (Fig. 1c). Multivariate analysis to predict sustained CR indicated that early achievement of deep remission was an independent factor (odds ratio 3.62, 95% confidence interval 1.1–18.9, p = 0.05). Regarding SDI, cumulative glucocorticoid dose, and eGFR level at year 3, patients with early deep remission had the most favorable result compared to the other groups (Fig. 2).

Fig. 1

Cumulative renal relapse-free rate in the 3 years after induction therapy. Comparison of relapse-free rate between patients with deep remission and those without (a). Comparison of relapse-free rate between patients with early remission and those without among patients who had achieved deep remission (b) and non-deep remission (c)

Fig. 2

Comparison of SDI, glucocorticoid dose, and eGFR level at year 3. Patients were divided into four groups depending on achievement of deep remission and early CR and SDI (a), glucocorticoid dose (b), and eGFR level (c) were compared among them. SDI Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics/American College of Rheumatology Damage Index, GC glucocorticoid, eGFR estimated glomerular filtration rate. The error bars represent mean ± SD

In this study, we found that achieving early and deep remission predicts a good renal outcome in patients with LN class III or IV. Since renal flare predicts a worse prognosis [5], determining the method of treatment to ensure long-term maintenance of CR is challenging. Our results suggest that deep remission might be a more beneficial therapeutic goal than that of the EULAR/ERA-EDTA recommendations regarding the prevention of renal flare. A future multi-center, prospective study is required to confirm our findings.



Complete renal response


The Joint European League Against Rheumatism and European Renal Association–European Dialysis and Transplant Association


Lupus nephritis


Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics/American College of Rheumatology Damage Index


Urine protein:Cr ratio


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    Illei GG, Takada K, Parkin D, Austin HA, Crane M, Yarboro CH, et al. Renal flares are common in patients with severe proliferative lupus nephritis treated with pulse immunosuppressive therapy: long-term followup of a cohort of 145 patients participating in randomized controlled studies. Arthritis Rheum. 2002;46:995–1002.

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    Hanaoka H, Yamada H, Kiyokawa T, Iida H, Suzuki T, Yamasaki Y, et al. Lack of partial renal response by 12 weeks after induction therapy predicts poor renal response and systemic damage accrual in lupus nephritis class III or IV. Arthritis Res Ther. 2017;19:4.

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    Hanaoka H, Kaneko Y, Kuwana M, Takeuchi T. Early achievement of complete renal response predicts good long-term renal outcome and low systemic damage in newly diagnosed lupus nephritis class III or IV. Mod Rheumatol. 2015;25:714–8.

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Availability of data and materials

The datasets used in the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

Author information

HH, HI, TK, and YT analyzed and interpreted the patient data regarding the renal response. HH, HI, and TK performed the histological examination of the kidney. HH was a major contributor to writing the manuscript. KK supervised the study design and writing of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

Correspondence to Hironari Hanaoka.

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This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of St. Marianna University School of Medicine. The reference number is 3305.

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Since this study was conducted under a retrospective cohort design without any samples taken besides those for clinical use, written informed consent was not acquired, in accordance with the guideline of Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare of Japan.

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The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

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Hanaoka, H., Iida, H., Kiyokawa, T. et al. Early achievement of deep remission predicts low incidence of renal flare in lupus nephritis class III or IV. Arthritis Res Ther 20, 86 (2018).

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